The definitive question of the Major League Baseball offseason is where will Juan Soto sign? It is the question that, in my opinion, will linger past the New Year. My household is intently following the news about Soto’s meetings with a number of teams in the league. After all, the New York Yankees, New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies all have the means to pay the exorbitant asking price. However, I believe none of those three teams will be the one to sign the 26-year old Soto. Nor will it be the Los Angeles Dodgers, Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays. Instead, it will be a team that only a few see coming. It actually shouldn’t come as a surprise.

He’s going home.
Juan Soto will sign with the Washington Nationals.
I know that’s not the team you were thinking. However, all of the elements are there for Soto to stay in Washington for the rest of his career. Let’s start with the projected Nationals’ payroll. With Patrick Corbin‘s deal set to come off the books, total salaries for 2025 are estimated to be approximately $87 million dollars according to Fangraphs. Soto, even if his number is $55 million, along with some other additions, will put the Nats’ payroll slightly above average relative to the rest of the league. Another reason why I believe a reunion is in order is the fact Washington did offer him a contract extension shortly before trading him 2022. It was reported that the offer was for 15 years and $440 million dollars. I don’t expect Washington to shy away from making a package available just because the overall number has greatly increased. Finally, it’s a location that he is familiar with and where he enjoyed his greatest team success. He owns a World Series ring with the team and his two highest OPS marks came in 2020 and 2021. Why not return to the place where he knows a World Series can be won?
It’s going to be a long offseason with news about Juan Soto meeting with teams on a weekly basis. It will certainly keep baseball fans interested as Fall turns to Winter. In the end, one team will get the prize. That team will be the Washington Nationals.
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