Confident in a Mets’ Playoff Berth

Mets’ fans, I apologize in advance if this prediction goes wrong. I feel very strongly that by this time next week, the Amazins will have clinched the final National League Wild Card spot. Before you get all mad at me, it’s not Sal Lincata declaring the NL East over. Follow me for a minute. There are signs that the Mets are done with the death spiral that dominated most of the last six weeks. Jonah Tong pitched well in his last outing. Francisco Lindor is on an eight game hitting streak. Juan Soto is aiming for 40-30. Pete Alonso keeps hitting home runs. To top it off, six of the last nine games are against the Nationals and Marlins. The other three are against the Cubs, who may be more content to rest before they begin their own Wild Card series.

Expect a bigger celebration than this next weekend. Credit: Yahoo Sports

It’s not just that the Mets are playing like we thought they would. It’s that other teams are blowing opportunities. When the Mets were mauled in a four game sweep in Philadelphia and dropping two in row to the Rangers, no one could leap ahead of them in the standings. Take the Reds. They were literally a game and a half out last week. They were then rewarded by getting swept in Sacramento by the A’s. Or the Giants. They were tied with the Reds, then proceeded to drop four in a row between Saturday and Tuesday. Finally, we have the Diamondbacks. After pulling off their best Monty Hall/Wayne Brady act at the deadline, they suddenly started playing well. In fact, on Wednesday morning, they had a chance to sweep the Giants, and with a Met loss, an opportunity to get within a half game of that last spot. Brandon Pfaadt threw nine (!) shutout innings but Arizona could not take advantage of two runner on third/one out situations late and ended up losing in 11 innings.

The combination of the Mets righting their own house and these other teams taking their best shots and missing is why I am supremely confident in a Mets’ playoff berth. I will get some heat from the Mets’ fans in my life about my bold statement for being a jinx. Too bad. Stop being a bunch of Chicken Littles. For once in your fandom, put it out there and tell me your team is October bound.

Tim Hill, Underrated Bullpen Star

Last month, I wrote about the one thing that united us as a baseball family. Actually, if you talk to most baseball fans, the majority will say bullpens are terrible. Much like the offensive line in football, bullpens seem to catch the most flak for a team’s troubles. The New York Yankees are no exception … Continue reading “Tim Hill, Underrated Bullpen Star”

Last month, I wrote about the one thing that united us as a baseball family. Actually, if you talk to most baseball fans, the majority will say bullpens are terrible. Much like the offensive line in football, bullpens seem to catch the most flak for a team’s troubles. The New York Yankees are no exception as two of their three deadline deals for relievers have not worked out. Jake Bird made two appearances and is now stuck in the Minors. Camilo Doval‘s ERA hovers near 6.00 as a Yankee. David Bednar, the third arm, has morphed into the Yankees’ closer thanks to the mid, bordering on subpar, performances of Luke Weaver and Devin Williams. He has been a savior since his arrival at the trade deadline. It’s easy to think he’s the team’s only reliable man from the ‘pen.

I’ll take Tim Hill getting important outs. Credit: Sports Illustrated

Don’t forget about Tim Hill.

It’s so easy to focus on the failings of Doval, Williams, Weaver and the rest of the crew. Bullpens bring out irrational emotions. Hill has made 66 appearances, most on the club, to the tune of a 3.09 ERA. I will grant you that he has been below average for the last month or so. Still, he’s probably the one guy aside, from Bednar, I would want to close out a game. Crazy? Sure, I will submit to that. However, until we get more consistency from Williams and Weaver over these last two weeks, I will stand by that take. Plus, I am always partial to guys that throw submarine style. Think Tyler Rogers across the bridge in Queens and Dan Quisenberry and Kent Tekulve from a different era. That fact Hill is a submarining left-hander makes him even more a favorite of mine.

During last year’s World Series run, Hill allowed one earned run in 8 1/3 innings. That tells me he is battle tested and is reliable when it counts. Right now, the bullpen pecking order is Bednar, Hill and then everyone else. If the crew, specifically Williams and Weaver, pitch to their ceiling, they become the next guys up. However, don’t forget the importance of Tim Hill to the New York Yankees’ bullpen.

Can the Phillies Please Clinch the Division Tonight?

The Philadelphia Phillies clinched a playoff spot yesterday. However, I’d like to call it a muted celebration because the team did not win yesterday’s game against the Kansas City Royals. Instead, they “backed” in by virtue of a loss by the San Francisco Giants. Now the Phils head out on a difficult road trip, visiting the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks. It’s real simple: one more victory and Philadelphia repeats as National League East champions.

I expect to see JT Realmuto catching the final out tonight. Credit: Sports Illustrated

For all that is good in the world, and for my sweet daughter Caitlyn, please clinch the division tonight.

Don’t fool around. Don’t drag this out any longer. Hang five runs on Anthony Banda in the first inning and let Ranger Suarez cook. Have Kyle Schwarber boost his MVP credentials with a three run home run in the third inning. Make those notorious Dodger fans leave in the fifth inning instead of the seventh. Let’s have Caitlyn go into school tomorrow in a fabulous mood. If the Phils lose tonight, I will be peppered with things like, “why do we stink” or, “can the Mets catch us” or my personal potential favorite, “we are regressing”. I don’t need such talk at 7: 30 AM and neither does Matthew. I’ll have to play “Dancing on My Own”, the team’s 2022 song, on a loop in order for her to feel better. No offense to the song because I like it but we need to hear it after a win, not a loss.

It’s an hour before first pitch. I’ll make three innings at most. And when I wake up in the morning, I want footage of champagne and beer goggles. It’s not a lot to ask.

Finally, a Good Sunday For the Mets

You take the good, you take the bad, you take them both and there you have the facts of life. What could the lyrics from a 1980s television show have to do with the New York Mets? Well, the facts of life and this iconic opening line apply to any Major League Baseball season. You have to take all of the good if you are a team like the Mets and endure some bad times over 162 games. Granted, their bad has been downright awful lately. However, on this Sunday, the Amazins had some good news on their side.

Carlos Mendoza is trying to run the Mets into the playoffs. Credit: Yahoo

Let’s start with their game in the afternoon. Nolan McLean was outstanding once again, tossing six shutout innings, departing with a 2-0 lead. You knew that wouldn’t last, correct? The bullpen gave it up but managed to get the game to extra innings. Pete Alonso then delivered the most important hit of the season, a three run home run to propel New York the 5-2 victory. The win halted the club’s eight game losing streak and it could not come at a more opportune time. It is also the type of game they would have lost earlier this month. The second part of the Mets’ fabulous day was the fact that both the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants lost their respective finales. They are the two teams chasing New York for the final playoff spot. Cincinnati, who owns the tiebreaker between the teams, is now 2.5 games back and on a three game losing streak. The Giants are now 1.5 games behind, having lost their final two games against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Could the rally by the Mets today along with the good fortune of their competitors lose finally break this second half malaise?

Not so fast. The Arizona Diamondbacks, the team that sold a ton of talent at the deadline, have appeared in the rear view mirror. They have actually leapfrogged the Reds and are only two games out. But here, the Mets get more good news. The D’backs final four series are against the Giants, Phillies, Dodgers and Padres. They can’t possibly jump into the final spot, can they? Take the good, take the bad, take them both and there you have the final Wild Card spot.

Can the Yankees Finally Top the Red Sox?

Wonderful. Well not really. Tonight’s New York Yankees-Boston Red Sox game is on Apple TV. Therefore, with the Yanks winning 2-0 as I write this, I have the displeasure of not viewing it. Instead, I get the non-privilege of watching the New York Mets continue their second half from hell. Yanks-Red Sox in September equals national TV broadcasts: tonight, Apple TV, tomorrow, MLB Network and Sunday, ESPN. The two teams have a storied rivalry, hence the national audiences. However, the 2025 season is anything but a rivalry as the Sox have dominated the Yanks, winning eight games out of ten.

Time for Max Fried to be the big money pitcher the Yankees pay him to be. Credit: NY Post

New York is due.

New York is primed to sweep Boston.

Boy I hope so.

I say that are ready for this because Aaron Judge is peaking at the right time. He has spent most of this last week chasing down and surpassing Yankee legends Yogi Berra and Joe DiMaggio on the career home run list. Hopefully, this momentum carries over into the playoffs and buries the narrative that he can’t perform when it counts. Look at Giancarlo Stanton. The last time his batting average was better than his current .268 this late in the season was four years ago. He has 20 home runs in 63 games. I get this feeling Max Fried will have a dominant start on Saturday like another legendary Yankee , Whitey Ford. His big Yankee moment has to come at Fenway Park. Most of all, this team is too talented to remain Boston’s punching bag for yet another three games. They need to showcase why they are the defending American League champions.

In all likelihood, these two teams will meet in the first round of the playoffs. This series, with the teams separated by a half game, will go a long way in determining who will be the host. A Yankees sweep would stop the Red Sox aura of invincibility surrounding these meetings in 2025. A Yankee series defeat will leave a ton of questions about how equipped this team is to return to the World Series.

Are the Phillies Getting Hot At the Right Time?

I sit here on Wednesday night watching the Philadelphia Phillies beating up on the New York Mets yet again. The Phillies won the first two games of the four game series this week and are trending toward a third straight win. The division race is over and suddenly, they are creeping closer to grabbing the #1 seed in the National League. The Mets have been bad, losers of four straight, heading toward a fifth consecutive loss tonight. However, the broader question is this.

Are the Phillies getting hot at the perfect time?

The Phillies are celebrating their latest good stretch of baseball. Credit: Yahoo

This week did not start out so good. The left side of their infield, Trea Turner and Alec Bohm, were placed on the injured list. Bohm will be back as soon as ten days have concluded while Turner could miss the rest of the regular season. A first round bye would be welcome for the club. Since August 1st, Philadelphia is 24-13 and has won six of eight games to begin September. Bryson Stott has awaken from a season long slump, hitting .333 over his last seven games. Same for Brandon Marsh, who is at .344 over his last 30 contests. Ranger Suarez struck out a career high 12 batters on Tuesday. Jhoan Duran and David Robertson have lifted the entire bullpen. This stretch has come with some significant adversity. Both Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are hitting under.200 over the last month. Ace Zack Wheeler last pitched August 15 and is done for the year. Bohm and Turner are now going to miss a minimum of ten games. 11 games over .500 with so many issues? It sounds like a squad that is peaking.

Just wait until Harper and Schwarber resume hitting. The injured infielders get a little bit of a break before the hardest part of the season. After a tough trip to Los Angeles and Arizona, the Phillies close out the year at home vs. the Marlins and Twins. Everything is pointing to the continuing torrid stretch exhibited by the team. The next question is, will it carry the Phillies to a Word Series championship?

Who Needs Monday Night Football When You Have Mets-Phillies

I get it. The world was starving for the NFL season to begin and tonight represents the final game of Week 1. The Minnesota Vikings at the Chicago Bears is a tasty prime time matchup, a good way to close the schedule. How will Ben Johnson fare in his first game as head coach? J.J. McCarthy makes his NFL debut after being injured all of last year. So many storylines, so much intrigue….

Who cares? The Mets start a four game series against the Phillies tonight at Citizens Bank Park.

Big series this week between these two teams. Credit: northjersey.com

There is angst in the house. Matthew expects the Phillies to win three of the four games, the only Mets’ win coming on Nolan McLean‘s start this evening. Caitlyn got the awful news that both Alec Bohm and Trea Turner have hit the injured list. Personal rivalries aside, this is a big series. Even though the Phillies lead the Mets by seven games in the National League East, a Mets sweep would put them at only three back and owning the tiebreaker. For whatever reason, the blue and orange uniforms bring out the worst in them, much like the Red Sox seem to spook the Yankees this season. Realistically, the Phils will remain in first place through the end of the season. They also have designs on the #2 seed and a first round bye. The Mets are running out of time to get into the first Wild Card spot and play their opening round at Citi Field. The series is getting some love nationally with tonight’s game being broadcast on MLB Network and Thursday’s game televised on Fox.

I am just as happy as the next person that the NFL is back. It is America’s most popular sport. But the calendar still says Summer and the clock is ticking on the regular season. Therefore, nothing is taking a back seat to Phillies-Mets to start the week and Yankees-Red Sox to close the week.

The Yankees Won Another Big Series, But Hold the Applause

At this time last week, there was a sense that the upcoming four series for the New York Yankees would tell us a lot about their chances in the playoffs. The Yanks sported a combined 7-19 record vs. the Houston Astros, Toronto Blue Jays, Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox heading into this stretch. While comfortably in a playoff spot, the team’s record against the four clubs didn’t inspire confidence as the regular season winds down. Safe to say, after going 4-2 against the Astros and Blue Jays, including today’s 4-3 series-clinching victory over Toronto, we feel a bit better about the Yankees and where they are heading.

Aaron Judge needs to be 1005 by this weekend. Credit: Sports Illustrated

Not 100% better, mind you, so let’s take it easy.

After winning two out of three this weekend, New York finished the season series against Toronto with a record of 5-8. They committed another two errors today, which, amazingly, did not hurt them. The Red Sox head to Sacramento to play the A’s, who own one of the worst home records in baseball. Boston looking to make up for the game and a half difference between them and the Bronx Bombers prior to next weekend’s showdown in Boston. We are fully aware that the Yankees are an unsightly 2-8 vs. the Red Sox, so winning two out three vs. the Tigers is mandatory. There is a chance they have to go through Tarik Skubal in Thursday’s finale as the reigning Cy Young Award winner last pitched Saturday. Given how Aaron Judge threw a ball back to the infield on Friday, their best lineup is still at least a week away. Judge will either have to DH full time or risk being compromised in right field. Either way, a potent bat will be missing this week or the outfield defense will again be a concern. No short walls like there were in Houston.

Perhaps I should take a cue from Ryan when he texted our group chat that the Yankees were only two games behind the Blue Jays. Maybe I should be more happy. After all, he can be a glass half empty guy when it comes to his team. I’m willing to be satisfied on this evening. Let’s see where we are at this time next week. If they flop in Boston again, we will go back to our skepticism that we have been living for most of this second half.

Would the Phillies Be Better Off as the #3 Seed?

Barring an unforeseen collapse, the Philadelphia Phillies will win the National League East. They have the chance to end the race next week with their four games at home vs. the New York Mets. They currently sit as the number two seed in the National League playoff standings, three games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers. With the Dodgers having played below average ball as of late, Philadelphia has a first round bye in their sights. However, would the Phils be better off avoiding the week of rest?

Rob Thomson and the Phillies could grab the #2 seed and a bye. Credit: Philadelphia Inquirer

Their own history suggests yes. Since Major League Baseball permanently instituted the Wild Card round in 2022, the Phillies have played in the first round twice and had the bye once. We know the results. They made the World Series in 2022 and the National League Championship Series in 2023. Last year, the team had the #2 seed and lost in four games in the Divisional round to the New York Mets. In 2023, a pair of Wild Card teams, the Texas Rangers and the Arizona Diamondbacks, met in the World Series. Each season, at least one team that plays in the first round eventually advances to the League Championship Series. There is something to be said for teams that continue to play as opposed to sitting for a week in between games.

With all that being said, and with all of the information I provided above, I would still want the bye. Last year’s World Series teams, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Yankees, were the top seeds in their respective leagues. Should the Phillies secure a first round bye, I am sure they can draw on lessons from last year’s loss. Anything from a different workout routine during the time off to bullpen usage in the week leading up to the bye will be examined. I can’t imagine Philadelphia getting bounced early two years in a row. They are too talented and are playing good baseball. Caitlyn is the one that needs to be convinced their season won’t end early.

The Troubles of Kodai Senga

For a good portion of the 2025 season, Mets’ fans had lots of negative things to say about Juan Soto. When you get paid $765 million dollars and your average with runners in scoring position is under .200 (until recently), expect to hear a lot of boos. However, Soto’s resurgence has put him in the good graces of the Flushing Faithful with nary a middle finger directed his way. However, one pitcher seems to have taken the high priced outfielder’s place as the subject of Mets’ fans’ ire. It’s not quite the Yankees’ Anthony Volpe level of discontent but it is getting close to the Soto range.

Kodai Senga to the Minors? It could happen. Credit: Newsday

Kodai Senga has some real problems.

It was only two short years ago that Senga finished second in the National League Rookie of the Year voting to Corbin Carroll. Since then, it’s been one big disappointment. Injuries limited him to one regular season start and three playoff outings in 2024, with each appearance memorable in a truly bad way. His only regular season start on July 26th ended with him limping off the mound with a calf injury. His three playoff games resulted in seven runs surrendered in only five innings. Senga’s overall 3.02 ERA in 2025 is solid but since his June 12 outing of 5 2/3 shutout innings, he has been dreadful. His ERA has nearly doubled and he has had all kinds of problems getting through five innings. The booing is becoming more intense as Matthew found out this past Sunday as he was at Citi Field for the latest less than stellar performance.

Now comes a report that the Mets are considering having Senga make his next start at Triple A Syracuse. This would be a seismic drop for a highly touted Japanese import who enjoyed much early success. If the Mets make the playoffs, can’t you envision Senga being left off the playoff roster? In the Wild Card round, your three starters would be Nolan McLean, David Peterson and a combination of Clay Holmes and Sean Manaea. Throw in the fact that Jonah Tong had a great first start and another youngster, Brandon Sproat could be promoted soon, and there is the possibility Senga may not throw a pitch in October. With three years left on his contract, the Mets will have to decide if Kodai Senga will be part of their future or trade him at a discount.